Why hire an appraiser?

 

Why hire an appraiser?

 

There is a myriad of reasons that someone would need an appraisal, from mortgage financing, to estate planning, relocation, litigation, among others. This piece relates to work engaged directly by a private client specific to that client’s needs. A testimonial is included as it shows how this type of work can be a direct benefit to the client, plus it was such a nice one that it bared sharing.

 

An appraisal seeks to answer the question the client has, and the report that is received is the communication of that process. Clients do not see, unless it is explained, the thought process that goes into developing the appraisal. Because of that, the reporting process is critical. Reporting needs to communicate enough about the process and the property to help the client understand how the appraiser arrived at their opinion. It should not require the client to take a “leap of faith” to understand how the appraiser ended up where they did. After all, we are hired to answer a specific question so that our clients can make an informed decision.

 

As much of my work is for private individuals who have various needs, I want to make sure that I explain what I have done, and what the problems particular to the appraisal at hand are. Some problems are more complex and require more explanation. Some are more straight-forward, but I still want to be sure that my client understands what I did and why I did it. Clients do appreciate the explanation, whether or not they appreciate the answer. Even if they do not like the answer, there should be enough information offered that they can understand the rationale behind it.

 

On private assignments I will often ask my clients whether the report was helpful, and sometimes ask for testimonials for my website so that other potential clients can see how an appraisal has benefitted them. I recently completed a very complex assignment where explanation was greater than typical due to the uniqueness of the situation and problem to be solved. My client wrote the following for my testimonial page:

 

“Rachel Massey was actually recommended to us by another appraiser in the Ann Arbor area who could not fit us into his schedule. Given that she is a competitor, I was surprised when he freely admitted that “Rachel is the best around,” and now I know why.  Indeed, we were very impressed with Rachel Massey’s services! Our market appraisal was a challenging one in that we were purchasing a lake property which included a very old, tiny cottage in pretty rough shape.  Because houses do not go up for sale very often on this particular lake, finding comparative values was difficult, especially given the condition of the house itself. However, Rachel proved to be extremely knowledgeable about how to accurately assess lake properties. In the end, she provided us with an extensive, detailed report that far exceeded our expectations. It gave us all the data we needed to be able to offer a fair, market-based price for such a unique property. My husband and I would wholeheartedly recommend Rachel Massey’s services to anyone who is in the process of buying or selling a home!”

 

Now of course if there was an issue or disagreement with the analysis, I want to hear it as well (but not on my website) and be offered a chance to provide further explanation if something was not clear. It helps me better understand where I can improve the communication process going forward.

 

If you have a question that requires a thoughtful, independent answer, please consider hiring a professional appraiser to help. Interview the appraiser about their processes, and about how they communicate the report. Interview them about their knowledge of a specific problem that is to be solved and ask for recommendations if at all in doubt.  An independent appraisal specific to the problem that you need solved is an invaluable tool that should not be overlooked.

 

Westridge of Dexter

 

Westridge in Dexter

 

Pass under the historic Dexter Railroad Bridge heading west, and on your right, along the curve towards Pinckney, is Westridge subdivision.  Like many developments that took place during the housing boom of the late 1990’s and early 2000’s, this development was a roaring success until the local real estate market started to hit the brakes in 2005.  Most houses in the development were built between 2000 and 2006, although there were a handful in 1999 and 2007.  The remaining lots started to be sold off to individual builders and new construction began again in 2010. The development splits between these older and newer houses, with the newer houses primarily situated on the northern side of the neighborhood, although there are scattered newer houses throughout. Only a couple vacant sites remain at this writing.

 

Houses are tract built, but with variety. There is ranch style, colonial, and some transitional houses with first-floor owner’s suites. Many have walkout basements and back to wetlands or wooded areas. Some back to walkways or parks. There are smaller houses, just north of 1,300 sqft, as well as some larger houses closer to 3,000 sqft. The newer houses tend to be higher priced and with modern upgrades as expected.

 

Westridge has a fortunate location adjacent to the Huron River and attendant park systems. It is along the Border to Border trail, offering easy access to both recreation and to the city center through a well-maintained pathway. This is particularly attractive in that there are no walkways along Island Lake Road, near the Railroad Bridge, making pedestrian traffic potentially life-threatening otherwise. The pathway that connects the subdivision to the downtown core requires only a few blocks walk, and many buyers consider this a particular selling point for this development.

 

 

Newer subdivisions appear to have been hit fairly hard during the Great Recession, at least locally. Westridge was no exception. The Ann Arbor Area Board of Realtors, from where my research is gleaned, maintains listings back in time, but only in a robust manner to 2006.  In a map search (above) of the development, I found sales back to 2001, but only a limited number. The data that follows is a scatter graph of all sales at their adjusted sales price, over time. Following that, is a yearly chart showing differences in sales prices per year, and at the end is information about current activity.

 

 

As is seen in this scatter graph, the market declined to a low point between 2008 and 2009, and current prices are well above the prices seen in 2001-2006 before the decline.

 

Laying this out in a yearly manner makes this information a bit more readable. The data below shows only median adjusted sales prices and price per sqft for simplicity purposes. Caveat on the data is that between 2001 and 2003 there were only minimal sales retained, and the number of sales started to increase in the MLS in 2004. Nevertheless, this information shows how the market declined over time and how it has recovered and exceeded previous prices. In the median adjusted prices, there is a blip upwards in price in 2005 followed by a decline to 2009. The 2010 price jump relates to size, therefore the next chart that follows shows price per square foot.

 

 

Looking at price per square foot the data shows the peak in 2003, declining steadily from 2004 through 2009. In my experience as a local appraiser, this appears more reasonable. I recall, in mid-2006 telling my husband the market had dropped around 10% and I didn’t see it going much lower. Oops.

 

 

The median Sales price since 12/5/17 (one year to the date of this writing) was $400,000 and the median asking price $420,000 on a 2,145 sqft house. There are currently two offerings in the development not under contract. The median asking price is $372,450 and a median 2,047 sqft house. Asking price is lower than the previous asking price of the sold properties by 11.32% and median size difference is 4.57%. Therefore, this information shows that prices may be down, as the asking prices are lower still than the difference in size. There are two properties under contract, and their median asking price is $369,900 and size 1,967 sqft. That means the asking price is 11.93% lower and the size is 8.3% lower, still indicating there is a decline potential.

 

Until we have a bit more data it is hard to call, but as an appraiser this information is meaningful, and I would not be calling the market increasing in spite the recent price increases noted in the charts above.  For those of you actively participating in this market, please pay attention to “chatter” from buyers, sellers, agents and appraisers. Who knows exactly what will happen going forward, but there are indications that the market is changing.

 

 

Why the contract?

Why does the appraiser need the sales contract?

 

This is a question we hear over and over again.  It seems counter-intuitive, that if an appraiser is hired to come to an independent opinion of market value in a sales situation, that they would require a copy of the contract.  There are a couple reasons that the appraiser will request the contract.

 

One is that it is a requirement of the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) to which appraisers must comply. Specifically, the appraiser needs to comply with Standards Rule 1-5 (a), which is:

 

When the value opinion to be developed is market value, an appraiser must, if such information is available to the appraiser in the normal course of business: analyze all agreements of sale, options, and listings of the subject property current as of the effective date of the appraisal; and (b) analyze all sales of the subject property that occurred within three (3) years prior to the effective date of the appraisal.

 

This is the development standard, meaning when the appraiser is doing the analysis portion of the assignment.  The reporting standard, the meat of what the public sees, applies to Standards Rule 2-2(a)(viii). In it, the comment section, third paragraph is:

 

When reporting an opinion of market value, a summary of the results of analyzing the subject sales, agreements of sale, options, and listings in accordance with Standards Rule 1-5 is required. If such information is unobtainable, a statement on the efforts undertaken by the appraiser to obtain the information is required. If such information is irrelevant, a statement acknowledging the existing of the information and citing its lack of relevance is required.

 

As noted above, analyzing and reporting on the contract is a requirement of USPAP. This is the primary reason you will be asked for a copy of the sales contract.

 

Another reason that you will be asked for a copy of the contract is to analyze what the meeting of the minds was, as the negotiation process can be meaningful. If the house was listed for $250,000 and there were five offers from $250,000 to $260,000 and it sold for $260,000, then the seller was in a very strong position and it is evidence of a seller’s market. If it was listed for $250,000 and sat on the market for six months, before getting an accepted offer at $200,000, then the buyer was in the best position. What if this house sold for $240,000 and the appraisers’ sales were from $220,000 to $245,000, and the value indication was $238,000?  What if the adjusted range of the sales was from $235,000 to $240,000, but the most similar of the sales was $240,000 and adjusted at the same?  Even if the indication from other sales was $238,000, that $240,000 was also supported, and it was the most relevant sale. If the appraiser opted for that $238,000 value instead of considering the negotiated contract between willing buyer and willing seller, they may be remiss. It is one data point in a series of other data points, and should be considered. Now of course, if the best indicator was $235,000 and there was only one odd sale supporting $240,000, we would expect the opinion to be at $235,000. There is normally some swing in range, in which one sale will stand out as better than the others. This is one of the reasons that the appraiser asks for a copy of the contract. It is also one reason that appraisers do not average adjusted sales prices, as there is often one or two sales that are more similar to the subject property than the others.

 

If the lender underwriters could make a decision based on the adjusted and unadjusted range of values, it would make this contract analysis less important. Unfortunately, a range of values has not been accepted by the government sponsored entities as a viable position, in spite of it being most relevant from the appraisal standpoint. As long as a point value  is required in the reporting of the value opinion (and required by USPAP), appraisers will need to keep analyzing the contract.  It bears repeating however, that an appraisal should never be a “bulls-eye” and if the value falls lower than the sales price, then it is quite simply possible that the property sold over market value. This happens in particular in highly undersupplied markets, or with buyers who are unduly motivated or lack knowledge of the market.  The appraiser’s role as the unbiased third party is critical at that juncture. Reading the tone of the market and completing a true market analysis is vital, as markets are fluid.

 

Regardless of whether the appraiser is able to obtain a copy of the contract, they still need to address what steps they took to obtain it, and they need to analyze the listings of the property. Although USPAP addresses listings current as of the effective date of the report, the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac forms go further with the specific question “is the subject property currently offered for sale or has it been offered for sale in the twelve months prior to the effective date of this appraisal?”  That means that even if it is not offered for sale today, but was offered for sale six months ago at $200,000 and is now under contract for $250,000, there is going to be a need to discuss what happened in the interim. Did the market change drastically in those six months, such as the city being awarded the second Amazon Headquarters?  Did the house undergo substantial renovation? Was it taken off the market six months ago in order to mitigate the problem points with buyers, such as installing a new roof and a new kitchen after complaints indicated those were huge sticking points?  The appraiser is going to have to address it regardless, if the report is for mortgage financing.

 

Even though it may seem strange that the appraiser is requesting a copy of the contract, or even asking about prior listings, it is part of our due diligence process. It is a requirement of our professional standards.  Please be forthcoming with all information that has been negotiated, including any sales concessions or repairs that may be on a separate addendum. Afterall, it is part of what is required of the appraiser in their analysis of the sale.

 

Affordability in Chelsea Fairways

Affordability and rising prices

 

We have seen rapid price appreciation from recent market lows in 2007-10 in this particular submarket. Rising prices are great for sellers, but are they good for buyers? How do the increasing prices affect affordability?

 

Chelsea Fairways is a newer subdivision on the southeast side of Chelsea in Michigan. It has had a handful of developers active over the years, with the initial sales starting in 2002 and stalled around 2006 when the market slowed down locally. The final build out was completed in 2016 by a different builder, but throughout, the housing stock remained similar in quality and scope. Arraying the sales by price less concessions, it is easy to see how the bottom of this market was towards the 2008-10 period, with rapid increases from 2014 through 2017.

 

graph

 

Other than completing the build-out of the development, not much has changed in the subdivision. The houses remain similar, the housing stock has aged somewhat, but the area is well maintained and continues to be a popular subdivision.

 

How do the increases in price affect affordability? We hear arguments about how the low interest rates made payments much lower, allowing buyers to stretch their housing dollars, but interest rates have been increasing slightly over the years based on the data found through Freddie Mac (see link below) which references historic interest rates by month.

 

One sale sold and resold a few times during this period, and is a good indicator about how payments would change over time with the hypothetical same buyer, with 20% down payment and prevailing interest rate for the time. In June 2012 the house sold for $226,200 and had taxes equivalent to $427 per month. Interest rates showed as 3.68% at that time. In May 2017 it sold for $335,000 and taxes of $493 per month. Interest rates showed at 4.01%.   In July 2018 it sold for $359,000 and had taxes of $480 per month. Interest rates showed at 4.53%.

 

Based on the old rule of 28% housing-debt to income ratio, the following tables shows how the increasing interest rates and mortgage payment, increases the amount of income necessary to afford the same house. Although the 28% rule no longer applies, it is relevant in gauging changes in affordability.  The same house purchased today would have an increase of almost $500 per month compared to six years ago. Does the typical buyer have the additional $500 per month to spend on mortgage payments, and would it affect the amount they could set aside for eventual needed repairs on the house? The increase in the properties sales price in six years was 58.71%. The rise in property payments over the same period was 54.25%.  Have incomes increased over 50% in six years?

 

chart

 

Of course, this example may be extreme, but since the sale was recent, and it sold several times over the past six years, it was germane. Interest rates rose, taxes declined slightly from the 2017 to 2018 period, making the payment a bit less than would otherwise be expected. In 2012, most of the houses sold were in the mid $200,000’s. There were a few REO sales that brought median and average lower, but the five non-distress sales had an average price of $236,274, therefore the sale used as a test was in the range of the others. In 2018 there were five sales with an average price of $372,300, also indicating an increase of over 57% in that same period.

 

Is this type of increase, coupled with the increasing interest rates and increasing taxes (for the most part) partly responsible for the current slowdown we are seeing? Is it just that we are entering a traditionally slower time of year? I do not have a crystal ball for the future, but throw out the question about affordability, since most people I know did not have a 50% increase in income over the past six years that would be what is needed to afford the same house.

 

 

Historic interest rates found through the following website:

http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms30.html

 

Who are you going to call?

…Ghost busters!

 

building-joy-planning-plans

 

Social media can be rife with misinformation, such as when the information presented is well intentioned, but of a national scope. National studies are not local studies, and blanket statements presented as fact are potentially misleading. Real estate agents are professionals who are involved in selling houses on a daily basis and know their markets — as well as what drives interest with the buyers and sellers they are working with. Their job is difficult; often rewarding, and they make lasting relationships with the people they have worked with. Most agents are “people persons” who thrive on human interactions, and on being able to make a difference in the lives they touch.  Agents do know what their buyers are willing to pay for certain features in certain markets and price ranges, but often do not approach the valuation process in the manner that appraisers do.

 

Take this ad for example. The agent had a great talking point related to how various remodeling projects can add to the appeal of a property and perhaps the eventual sales price, but the talking points were incorrectly presented. There are a few issues with this ad, one is that there are very specific percentages expressed, and another that there is no source citation for these percentages. The main issue however is, if a real estate agent is the right individual to state what adds value on a home appraisal?

 

odd question

 

While advertising is critical in today’s market, advertising specific percentages or numbers about specific remodeling projects gleaned from national sources, can be misleading. Stating that these features add value to an appraisal, and that the reader should ask a real estate agent about what adds value to an appraisal, is illogical. Instead, simply go to a source, such as your local appraiser and get an appraisal completed.

 

For the percentages above, we have no idea where this hypothetical property is located; what price range or market segment it is in, or what the source for information is. In addition, the numbers are so precise that they are not logical. If one were to replace a garage door for $3,000, would it truly add a return of 98.3% or $2,949?  Would that manufactured stone you put on the house, that some buyers will like and others hate, truly add 97.1% return? Do buyers even look at a property and say that they will pay $50.47 more per square foot than another house that was 95-sqft smaller? These types of advertisements are catchy, but they could also be misleading.  In addition, the ad clearly points the reader to contact a real estate agent to tell you how much value a renovation adds to a home appraisal. This too is illogical, since an agent is not an appraiser and the job functions are not the same.

 

A professional appraiser, who knows the local market, has the ability to both provide a current value, and a value “subject to” the proposed changes. Appraisers approach each problem to be solved in a competent, independent, impartial and objective manner. There is significant training and experience required to become a certified appraiser.  Real estate agents have a lot of specific training and education as well, but their roles are different and agents work on helping buyers and sellers achieve their goals of purchasing/selling real property. They are often functioning in multiple roles, such as acting as mediator, stager, chauffeur, diplomat and therapist. While they deal with sales prices, and know what buyers are willing to pay for properties, their view on the properties is much more “larger picture” than an appraiser specific, researched and analyzed determination.

 

When considering buying or selling a property, the agent is the first to call. When considering a remodel or addition and the effect on the value on the property, the appraiser is the first to call.

Pre-listing appraisals

pexels-photo-101808

There is a lot of negative commentary in social media and in the press related to what appraisals are and what appraisers do. Much of it seems to stem from a misunderstanding of the appraisal process. I just saw a YouTube video an agent put together disparaging appraisals from the pre-listing perspective, and instead advocating for the use of agent’s market analysis.  Both appraisal and CMAs are valid, as they have different functions, and it makes no sense to disparage one to try and sell the other.

 

In order to help dispel some myths that cause this type of misunderstanding, consider what an appraisal is, and what a CMA is, and how both are useful in the prelisting process.

 

From the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) definitions section:

APPRAISAL: (noun) the act or process of developing an opinion of value; an opinion of value. (adjective) of or pertaining to appraising and related functions such as appraisal practice or appraisal services.

Comment: An appraisal must be numerically expressed as a specific amount, as a range of numbers, or as a relationship (e.g., not more than, not less than) to a previous value opinion or numerical benchmark (e.g., assessed value, collateral value).

REPORT: any communication, written or oral, of an appraisal or appraisal review that is transmitted to the client or a party authorized by the client upon completion of an assignment.

APPRAISER: one who is expected to perform valuation services competently and in a manner that is independent, impartial, and objective.

Comment: Such expectation occurs when individuals, either by choice or by requirement placed upon them or upon the service they provide by law, regulation, or agreement with the client or intended users, represent that they comply.

 

Looking at these definitions, an appraisal relates to the development of the opinion of value, while the report is the communication of that opinion. Most of what the public sees is the report, not the act of development.

 

The definition of appraiser is particularly important as this is one who is expected to perform competently, independently, impartially and objectively. Why would there be any objection at all to someone who is performing this work in such a manner as the definition of an appraiser implies?  The appraisal report should, by its very definition, end up being an unbiased opinion. I will add that the opinion is based on factual data that is observed, analyzed, and reported in a competent manner. Because of that, it is very important that data that is provided to the MLS and public records be reported accurately, as both agents and appraisers will need to rely on what is reported to a large extent.

 

A competitive market analysis (CMA) is the REALTORs study of the market and the subject properties position in the market. Most agents use similar data sources that the appraisers use, but tend to focus more on the active properties as compared to the sold properties in establishing an asking price.  This makes sense because the buyer is not going to have the opportunity to buy one of the comparable sales that are used in an appraisal report, since they already sold. They could buy one of the active alternatives. In that manner, this is a logical approach.  One concern with it however, is that the appraisal will need to at least meet the sales price once the property goes to contract, therefore studying the past sales is paramount as well.

 

Ideally both appraisals and CMAs consider both the past and the present, as well as the current market tone and activity. Appraisers look to most probable sales price, while agents will try and focus on the highest possible price for their client.  Often sellers will have two or more CMAs for their property completed as part of the various listing presentations, as agents vie for a listing. Sometimes the agent’s CMAs are not close together at all, and the owner needs an independent opinion, which is where many appraisals for pre-listing information come into play. Sometimes sellers are simply more comfortable hiring an appraiser to provide them an opinion outside of the listing process, to ensure they do not significantly overprice their property.  This too makes sense. Spending a little bit of money prior to listing, could save substantial time and heartache if the property does not sell and is marketed an extended time. Or it could do the same if it does sell, but cannot be supported by closed sales in the market. Many sellers look at the appraisal report as an ounce of protection being worth more than a pound of cure.

 

Both appraisals and CMAs have a place in the process of listing a property for sale. Homeowners should carefully review an appraiser’s experience, qualifications and knowledge of the market, as well as that of any agent they hire.  After all, both appraisers and agents will work a market extensively, whereas a seller (or buyer) will only occasionally participate in the real estate market.

 

Bye-bye 1004MC, hello analysis

man-and-dog-jumping-in-air

On July 31, 2018, at the Appraisal Institute Annual Conference, Fannie Mae announced the end of the 1004MC. News quickly spread among the appraisal blogosphere, and on August 7, 2018, the new Selling Guide showed that the 1004MC was no longer required.

Rejoicing was heard throughout the land.

Although the 1004MC is no longer required by Fannie Mae, the appraiser still needs to support their opinion of market trends, supply and demand, and marketing time. The exact verbiage found in the 8/7/18 updated Selling Guide is:

The appraiser’s analysis of a property must take into consideration all factors that affect value. Because Fannie Mae purchases mortgages in all markets, this is particularly important for neighborhoods that are experiencing significant fluctuations in property values including sub-markets for particular types of housing within the neighborhood. Therefore, lenders must confirm that the appraiser analyzes listings and contract sales as well as closed or settled sales, and uses the most recent and similar sales available as part of the sales comparison approach, with particular attention to sales or financing concessions in neighborhoods that are experiencing either declining property values, an over-supply of properties, or marketing times over six months. The appraiser must provide his or her conclusions for the reasons a neighborhood is experiencing declining property values, an over-supply of properties, or marketing times over six months.

When completing the One-Unit Housing Trends portion of the Neighborhood section of the appraisal report forms, the trends must be reflective of those properties deemed to be competitive to the property being appraised. If the neighborhood contains properties that are truly competitive (that is, market participants make no distinction between the properties), then all the properties within the neighborhood would be reflected in the One-Unit Housing Trends section. However, when a segmented or bifurcated market is present, the One-Unit Housing Trends portion must reflect those properties from the same segment of the market as the property being appraised. This ensures that the analysis being performed is based on competitive properties. For example, if the neighborhood contains a mix of property types not considered competitive by market participants, then a segmented or bifurcated market is present. The appraiser should also provide commentary on the other segment(s) of the neighborhood when segmentation is present.

What does this mean to the residential practitioner operating in the mortgage space? It means that the requirement for analyzing the market remains, and it is now up to the practitioner to support their opinion, without the benefit of a flawed format. Appraisers can now choose how they present their analysis, which may include multiple sources to support an opinion. Fannie Mae is clear that the one-unit housing trends section should reflect properties that are directly competitive with the property being appraised. The following information relates to several different ways to support trends, but is not an exhaustive list.

Appraiser developed trends

sample macro image

The data array above considers all sales other than the “to be built” properties in a specified school district, over a 20-month period. The sales are run year-to-year, advancing on a monthly basis. This way it is possible to see changes in a subtler manner as opposed to year-to-year study, when related to any adjustments that are made for changing market conditions. For example, comparing a property that went under contract in April 2018 to the appraisal effective of August 13, 2018, lines 16 and 20 would be compared. This can be used in combination with the submarket chart, to see what is happening with the market. Ideally both median prices and price per square foot are analyzed.
The columns in the chart relate to the timeframe, number of sales, the median list and sales prices, the list to sales price ratios, gross living area (GLA) and price per square foot (PPSF). The reason that GLA and PPSF are included relates to changes in size affecting sales prices. The final two rows in the chart relate to how many listings are active and under contract as of the date of the study, referred to as the “contract-to-listing ratio” which is relevant. In my opinion, this is one of the most relevant pieces in the analysis, as indications of change are noted before sales close. It also supplies information related to supply and demand.

price over time
Laying the sales price information out in a chart can help the visual reader as well.
It is evident by observing this data, that the market has increased over time — from $328,000 to $355,000 or 8.23% (row 8 to 20) — but in the past year, not as substantial an amount, from $349,900 to $355,000 or 1.46% (row 8 to 20). Price per square foot has increased from $148.08 to $160.49 over the 20-months period (8.38%), and $156.72 to $160.49 year to year (2.41%). What this shows is that, although there was an increase of over 8% in the measured period, the past year does not show as marked an increase, and it could be construed as stabilized or stabilizing, based on the appraiser’s analysis, in particular after studying the current contracted sales.

There is another piece to this puzzle, and that is how many houses are showing as under contract in this macro market, and what the supply looks like relative to demand. This is the “contract-to-listing ratio” which shows 90 houses on the market total, with 22 under contract. This is a ratio of 24.44% in this segment. Through employing this type of analysis on each appraisal report completed, it is possible to see a shift in the market start to occur, before sales prices reflect it. In my market, 24% of sales under contract is indicative of a normal market, one that is neither favoring buyers or sellers. What is also extremely meaningful is the listing prices of the houses under contract compared to the listing prices of the previous segments sales. The listing prices of those properties under contract are now $10,000 lower than the list prices of the previous period, in spite of a small increase in median size. This tells us that we may have a price correction occurring, but before closing, we cannot be certain. We can however use this information and explain to our client, what we see happening in the market.
Fannie Mae wants to see the specific market segment, and not necessarily the macro market — although that is relevant as well since understanding the larger macro market is necessary before an assignment specific market can be analyzed. The submarket in this instance shows an increasing market in prices, but the median asking prices of the contracted sales are 13.33% lower than the asking prices of the previous segments sales. This is in part due to a decrease in median gross living area, and also in part due to a much smaller segment of data for analysis. Nevertheless, the market also shows a greater absorption of these properties than the macro market as the contract to listing ratio shows over forty percent of the properties offered as under contract. We could easily see this market as either stable, or still increasing slightly. It is up to the appraiser to explain their thought process on the conclusion of market trends.

sample micro
It is possible to structure something similar to what is reflected in the chart above with whatever is considered relevant by the appraiser doing the analysis. The appraiser might wish to do year-to-year, month-to-month, monthly, weekly, or whatever period the appraiser considers relevant. Whatever is chosen provides support for the appraiser’s opinion as to market trends. In the event of a change in the market, we have some evidence-based data supporting our market trends conclusion.
Additional sources
As much as we might want to rely on our own data, there are other sources available that can also help with a determination of market trends. Using the same hypothetical property above, it is easy to pull various sources such as Realtors Property Resource (RPR), Realist, Trulia, Movoto and others.
The RPR sample below uses a sale in the same area above, and shows the following graph. The property price increased over time, but is generally stable over the past year. The zip code shows an increasing price, and the county prices increasing steadily, as to, the entire state of Michigan. This is useful additional data to include either in the report itself, or in the workfile for posterity.

RPR sample
Most appraisers have access to both RPR and Realist via their MLS. An example of market trends from Realist is shown below. This data is not related to the subject submarket, but does include the zip code and city, as well as county, showing mixed trends data compared to the appraiser developed data addressed above. If one relies on this information, the market shows as increasing after a dip over the winter.

realist

Trulia, Movoto and other similar applications are not able to differentiate between the submarket and the overall market, but are useful and provide additional sources of support. Movoto enables the user to observe data trends over different segments of time, and by price per square foot as shown below. It also allows segmentation between single family properties and condominiums. Examples of properties in the same market as the sample discussed throughout this report are shown below.

movoto
(snapshot from Movoto on price per square foot over 2-years)
Trulia allows the user to identify the number of bedrooms, or include all sales.

Trulia
(snapshot from Trulia for Dexter)

Sale/resale
Another way to support change is to observe sales that resell in a defined period. This is particularly useful when the subject property has a recent prior sale. It helps provide a basis for where the property was at the time of the prior sale, compared to the market today. Most MLS have a data export ability, and it is simple to set up a search within your parameters, observe any sales that resold, and then compare possible changes between the sales periods. My research in this market isolated two sales that were within my search parameters over a 2-year period. One set sold 4/17/17 at $399,500 and then again on 4/9/18 for $647,500. That is an increase of 62% and unlikely market appreciation. Looking at the MLS comments and photos, the difference relates to the first sale as a more original property, somewhat tired to today’s standards. The second sale shows a gut-rehab with HGTV style bling. I could use this sale/resale as evidence of value added for a significant remodel, but would not want to rely on it for market change.
My second set of data included a property that sold 8/9/16 for $411,500, and then again on 6/27/17 for $439,000. This is an increase of 6.68%, but the most recent sale was over a year old. The only change noted was a new roof in the interim. Given the data shown in the charts above, the increase was in line with the submarket increase and is further support for the increase that was occurring before January of this year, but does not provide good information for the current trends.
Conclusion
All of this information combined can help support the opinion of where the market is as of the effective date. More importantly, it can help defend the report in the event that the market changes and the appraiser is accused of having ignored market conditions that were noted at that time.
Many participants in the market are concerned there is a shift that is inevitable, either on the immediate horizon, or off a few years. In any event, with the elimination of the 1004MC as a requirement, appraisers are not absolved of supporting their opinion of market conditions at the time of the appraisal report, and all of these tools, and others, are available to the appraiser to better help support the decision.
Let’s view the elimination of the 1004MC as an opportunity to really shine and support our work. After all, we are the neighborhood experts, but we need to be compelling in our decisions when faced with increased computer models and data alternatives. This is our opportunity to show the value that we bring as analytical researchers.

Observe, Analyze and Report – in that order

The more things change, the more they remain the same. We still need to pay attention to our analysis of both sales histories and listing histories for our subject properties and comparable sales.

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Observe, Analyze and Report- In that Order
By Maureen Sweeney, SRA, AI-RRS and Rachel Massey, SRA, AI-RRS

Appraisers have always faced objections and challenges to their reports as soon as they leave the office. Some are preventable, such as typographical errors or taking a photograph of the wrong comparable property- after all, we are only human. Others are out of the appraiser’s control, such as a foreclosure or a loan repurchase of a property we appraised.

When a loan is repurchased, the Government Sponsored Entity (GSE) or lender may turn to the original appraisal to evaluate its accuracy and verify that the observations made during the time of inspection were correctly documented. They may look to see if the contract, market conditions, prior sales history and other observations were analyzed, and that those observations, analyses and conclusions were communicated in a manner that was not misleading. Many of us are great at documenting what we see at a property as well as communicating these observations in our appraisal reports. Unfortunately, many appraisers are not as strong at analyzing data and are uncertain of what needs to be addressed, particularly as it relates to prior sales of the subject and the comparable properties included in the report.

To analyze something is to examine and interpret it. For the appraiser, it is the analysis of the data that we collect, examine and interpret. Appraisers need to report their analysis clearly and accurately to prevent future problems; “an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure.” Remember, most of our clients are not mind readers and may need to be walked through why there was a price increase or decrease to the subject or one of the comparable properties.

Most residential appraisers whose work is exclusively mortgage related, work mainly with the Fannie Mae Uniform Residential Appraisal Report (URAR, Form 1004), Individual Condominium Appraisal Report (Form 1073), and/or the Small Residential Income Property Appraisal Report (Form 1025). While these three forms appear to be very different, they have many similarities. Each is tailored to a specific residential property type but each includes a Scope of Work, Statement of Assumptions, and Limiting Conditions. We are all so busy that it is easy to forget what is in the Certification that we sign with each report. As such, it is a good practice to read the pre-printed certification and limiting conditions pages occasionally. This is because each time we sign our report we are confirming that we have completed the items listed on those pages.

Analyze This
There are pressures that appraisers face daily, including time pressure, ever-growing engagement letters that require all kinds of additional details and information, and the constant battle for reasonable fees. Many of us have developed language and statements that help us save time in writing appraisal reports. One thing that boilerplate and drop-down menu statements cannot help us with is data analysis. This is one timesaving corner we cannot cut.

As much as we would like to think that presenting the facts about a sale is analyzing data, it is not.  Analysis is more than a statement that a property sold on such and such a date, for such and such a price. The analysis includes how that sale was positioned in the market at the time of transfer or sale. Was the sale at arm’s length? Was it a REO sale in need of a total overhaul? Was the sale under duress because of some need to sell? Was it one family member selling to another? We need to address why it sold for what it did in relation to what the current appraised or final sales price is. We must analyze the prior sale as well as the current contract, if applicable, and explain and report the results of the analysis or explain why it was not performed.

As markets are rarely static, we need to analyze the current market and any changes to the market since the prior sale. This analysis of the market, and how it has fluctuated, is a basis for part of the analysis of the prior sale in comparison to the current market value. Because of the requirement by the GSEs to use the Market Research and Analysis Form (1004MC), sometimes there are inadequate data within the report to support a trend which might otherwise help paint a picture of an increase (or decline). When there is inadequate data to adequately complete this form, there is nothing stating we cannot include additional information outside of the MC form.

Often, those who look to find fault with an appraisal turn to this section first, because sometimes appraisers do not analyze the data presented in the 1004MC. Boxes may be checked, boilerplate statements may be added, but the data analysis is not summarized. The appraiser knows the market and knows what is occurring, but did not add a summation of the analysis or trends that may be reflected in the data. Are foreclosures and short sales an issue in the market?  Appraisers may click the box “yes” yet not report the impact of those foreclosures and short sales in the subject’s market. When analyzing the market conditions, analysis is not a “should,” but a “must.” As appraisers, we are often so busy and it may seem so self-evident, but six months or a year down the line it may be very difficult to remember precisely what was happening in the market at the time. This extra bit of communication of what we observed in the market at the time can be very helpful, not only to our clients, but to ourselves in the event of a challenge to our work, months or even years down the line.

This analysis of the market conditions is used when analyzing the prior sales of the subject, as well as all comparable sales. Currently Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require a minimum 36-month sale and transfer history of the subject to effective date, and 12-months for all comparable sales since their most recent closed date. After September 14, 2015, the FHA requires 36-months for the subject and 36-months for all comparable sales.  We are starting to see more ”flipping” again as the market has improved in many parts of the country. There are often examples of houses being purchased below market because they were in need of repair and then rehabbed or renovated, and resold. 

 

Were any of the comparable sales sold previously below market value due to their condition and lack of modernization?  Did these houses sell for a higher, similar or even lesser amount after improvement and is this consistent with the market conditions analysis?  Sometimes this cannot be determined by looking back 12 or 36-months. Perhaps the comparable prior sale sold 40-months ago, but sold at a similar time as the subject’s prior sale.  Would comparing that prior sale to its current sale further support the changing market conditions?  Would it support the information presented in the Sales Comparison Approach to value? If the prior sale was a “trashed-out” REO sale and there are photos in the MLS, consider including a few of these photos, in addition to the narrative, as they can add needed support for the change. As appraisers, we may have to go beyond the minimum time and reporting requirements to accurately analyze the prior sales in order to develop credible assignment results.

Analyzing a Sale
How does one analyze a sale?  The following is one simple example:
“Comparable sale 1 sold on 01/01/2015 after being exposed to the market for 7 days.  It was bank owned, and in need of significant work, including replacement of all cabinetry, flooring, light fixtures and paint.  It also needed a new roof and furnace. The water heater was in working order and the electric had previously been upgraded. The house was listed for sale for $99,000 and sold under a bidding war for $105,000.  The purchaser of this property gutted what was remaining, replaced cabinetry, flooring, light fixtures and windows, as well as installed new siding, roof, and furnace.  The entire interior was painted and the owner had the property staged for sale.  It was offered for sale on 06/01/2015 for $225,000 and received three offers according to the listing agent. The house sold in 5 days on the market for $230,000 without concessions. The increase in price of $110,000 was partially related to the increasing market but in larger part due to the remodeling that took place in the interim.”

In this example, the appraiser analyzed the prior sale, then reported this information in the body of their appraisal report. This sale, which would have generated many questions, did not. The appraiser communicated their analysis in writing instead of only keeping notes in the work file. There was no need for questions by the appraisal reviewer, especially since MLS photos showing the prior and current condition were included in the report.

The Working RE story Supporting Market Conditions has one example of how to complete a market analysis outside of the 1004MC form. In short, if there are insufficient data points to provide any type of robust market analysis, include additional information supporting the position of how the market is changing or has changed, before the effective date of the report. Let the client know what has happened in the market since the prior sale of the subject as well as what has happened to the subject itself. Part of our jobs as appraisers is to help clients understand the market.

Should Do/Must Do
The appraiser’s job has changed dramatically in the past 10 years. We are under increased scrutiny by all parties in the mortgage industry as well as state regulators, attorneys and borrowers. Those of us still in the industry are paying for the sins of individuals who were part of various financial crimes, some even appraisers. Many of those who were guilty of these sins were not appraisers, yet many in the industry, the media, and the public insist on pointing the finger at us.

Some of the bad apples left the industry, by their own choice or through the encouragement of their state appraisal licensing boards. Because of this, what once was a “should,” has turned into a “must.”  It is important to observe what is at the property and what is happening in the market, analyze that information, and provide at least a short summary of our analysis. Because of the massive amounts of information we are required to know and the constant changes that we see in the industry, sometimes we know much but don’t report enough. Sometimes we have to show our work. By showing our work and including our data analysis, objections and challenges of our reports will be a thing of the past. This is particularly the case related to prior sales of the subject property and the comparable sales included within the report.

 

Note, this originally appeared with WorkingRE 2.5 years ago, but the sentiment remains very much the same. This has been republished with their permission.  Please visit the original at Here if interested.

Changing markets

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By Rachel Massey, SRA, AI-RRS

It is easy to miss the market. Sometimes subtle changes are occurring and it is too early to pick up on a trend. Or there is conflicting information indicating both an increasing and a declining market at the same time, depending on the market segment.

If appraisers had crystal balls into the future, we would be doing something other than appraising. The money would be in predictions, not in measuring the current market. We are expected to be in touch with the market however, but basing our opinions on past, closed transactions is not necessarily the current market. This is one reason analyzing current offerings, pending sales, expired and withdrawn listings, and listening to the chatter of those involved in real estate sales is important.

Between 2007 and 2010 much of the nation experienced significant declines in real property values. Some appraisals that were developed and communicated in that period indicated the market was stable, even with evidence to the contrary. Appraisers were reluctant to mark the declining trends box on the form reports, due to very real concerns of losing lender business by doing so. The 1004MC form, that became mandatory after April 1, 2009, came to being in large part as a way to help ensure that appraisers analyzed the market. Like it or not, this provided structure and direction to lead the appraiser to look at what was happening in the market, at the time of the appraisal. Although many appraisers state this form is woefully inadequate, few supplement it with additional information supporting their market trends decision. This is the thesis of this short article; to be aware of  other elements to observe in addition to the MC document, as well as what to watch for as the market starts to change. Because change is inevitable.

Ten years after the market decline, large parts of the country are experiencing significant increases in real property values. Some markets have surpassed the previous highs, and many appraisers are concerned about a repeat cycle reminiscent of the 2007-2010 market. How do we as appraisers, protect ourselves against being accused of incorrectly measuring what market conditions are? How can we analyze what factors are driving the market, and what should we be aware of as possible bellwether indicators of a changing market?

Although not exhaustive, below is a list of some of what is driving an increasing market in many of our individual areas.

  • Low inventory
  • Low rates
  • Few builder specs
  • Builder entry prices (due to labor shortages and increasing costs)
  • Owners converting housing to rentals
  • Taxes making moves difficult (resetting to higher assessments)
  • Need to sell to buy and lack of opportunity to do so – making downsizing difficult
  • Owners holding on to their residence due to no desire to change circumstances
  • Fear of rising rates causing panic buying
  • Optimism that prices will continue to increase

Being aware of what is driving the market is a good first step to being aware of what could ultimately change the market. Each of the points above can cumulatively or individually result in a change to market conditions.  In addition, the following factors should be watched.

  • Incomes not keeping pace with price increases
  • Increased inventory
  • Rising rates
  • First time buyers priced out of market deciding to opt out
  • Property taxes exceeding allowable write-off

Ways to check what is happening

  • Contract to listing ratios
  • Expired and withdrawn listings
  • Days on market
  • Price reductions or increases
  • Listing prices lower than comparable sale prices
  • Widening gap between list and sales prices
  • Comments in listings “bring offers” “priced below recent appraisal”
  • Agent interviews – agent chatter
  • Falling rental prices
  • Incomes not keeping pace with price increases
  • Increasing relocation assignments

Contract-to-listing ratios are a concept that agents use, but most appraisers do not seem attuned to. It is simply taking a pool of competitive properties into consideration, and looking at the percentage of the listings on the market at that time that are under contract. If the determination is that the competitive market for the subject property is a 1,000 – 1,500 sqft ranch house built between 1940 and 1960 in such and such an area, the appraiser may find there are 100 listings on the market, but of those 100 listings, 40 are under contract. That is a 40% contract to listing ratio, and indicates the market is strong and houses are absorbing into the market. If on the other hand, there are 100 listings but only ten are under contract, that is a 10% contract to listing ratio and is weak, showing the market is not strong. This can be used to measure whether the market is favoring buyers, sellers, or is generally balanced. Through keeping track of this type of information in various market segments over time, it can be used to predict near-term changes in the market. For example, price pressure may show all the listings 20% higher than the sales, but if very few are under contract, it is unlikely there is going to be a jump in prices, but if most are under contract in spite of the spike in prices, it is likely they will close higher and it affords a chance to be left behind. Take for example, this sample that I ran (by price, not by market segment for the simplicity of this article) for my market on 2/16/18 and run again on 3/18/18 for comparison, to see what areas in the market were experiencing the greatest pressures:

Overall the market shows extremely tight, with less than 2.75 months’ worth of inventory as a whole in the entire school district, and by price, in the same realm through to the $500,000 price range. Over that, there is more inventory and a much lower contract to listing ratio, at 24.53% compared to 32% for just a bit lower priced, between $401,000 and $500,000, and even greater at 57.14% in the $301,000 – $400,000 range.  How does this type of information help inform the reader of the current market? It simply shows what inventory is like as well as how active the market is. It doesn’t show price increases if they are occurring, but it is pretty unlikely that a market with 50% of the houses on the market under contract is going to be either stable or declining. If your opinion of value on the property was $190,000, there would be no active competition as of this date and it would be a good bet that the house would be in high demand. Conversely, if your opinion of value was $650,000, there would be much more competition and the expectation would be a longer marketing period. In addition to how the subject of the appraisal might be positioned, keeping track of ratios over time can be useful in noticing a trend before it becomes well known in the market, realizing that figures could vary in a day. In the example above however, the trends appeared similar, showing the highest levels of activity in this market in the $201,000 – $400,000 range, with no inventory under $200,000.

When markets are tight and increasing, it is just as important to discuss the market and any changes that are evident, as it is when the market is declining. Ignoring an increasing market is just as incorrect as ignoring a declining market. Stating that one only adjusts downward for declining markets, but not upward for increasing markets is an incorrect procedure. Document the changes and include what you can in the report.

Document, document, document, as silly as it may seem, using Trulia, Realtor.com and other online tools can help you with keeping a record of trending information on top of what you present in your report. Realtors Property Resource has a tool which provides trending analysis for the property under consideration, the zip code and the county. Realist also provides for price trends, as do Trulia, Realtor.com, Movoto and other sources. Although these data sources provide broader market data, simply having the information you pulled related to trends in the market, in your workfile, is helpful in the event someone comes back years later saying you should have marked declining on the report when all indications were that the market was stable to increasing at the time you completed the assignment.

Markets can change overnight. For those of us appraising in 2001, we can remember how the world stood still on 9/11, and how it took a month or two for the country to breathe again and get back to doing business. Significant market changes can happen quickly, and we have to be able to be aware of what is going on in our market, even with these events. Agents who are active in the market will be in a perfect position to talk with us about what they are seeing as well. It is a good idea to build trusting relationships with agents, who will share their concerns as well, even if it is “off record”. These relationships do matter.

If the market in your area begins to decline, do not be afraid to report what you see – even if the short-term repercussion is decreased work from such and such lender. The long-term benefit of being truthful is more important. Appraisers must work with integrity and not be afraid of losing business for doing the right thing.

 

This post has been copied in its entirety (well, without ads) from the original source of publication, WorkingRE, with their permission. Original link below. Please visit their site often as well 🙂

here

 

Appraising Lakes, Beyond Front Footage

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When attempting to determine the value of lakefront property, there’s so much more to the equation than just measuring waterfront space. Here’s what appraisers and agents need to know.

As summer approaches, activity on lakes—large and small—increases. But in my experience as a REALTOR® and certified appraiser, it is apparent that many agents, brokers, and appraisers have not acquired all the knowledge, skills, and perspective needed to accurately evaluate lakefront property. In the hope of filling in some of the gaps, here are some tips on how appraisers can provide a more defensible appraisal on these complex properties as well as some of the nuances that agents who are new to lake properties should consider.

The Why of the Buy

Both appraisers and agents alike need to be aware of the motivations that result in sales. Appraisers need to be in touch with the vagaries of the different submarkets in order to adequately analyze the properties they appraise, and agents need to understand that there is much more to selling lake property than front footage.

What motivates a buyer to purchase a lake property? Is it the tranquility? The beauty of the water? The excitement of a speedboat and waterskiing, or casting a line into the water in hopes of landing a trophy catch? It is all of these things, and none of these things. The motivations are almost as numerous as the buyers looking for a lake house are, and one buyer’s paradise is another’s hell. Different types of lakes attract different buyers, and the buyer looking for tranquility is going to be very unhappy purchasing a house on a lake crowded with jet skis and powerboats. The same would be true for the avid motorist who buys on a small, quiet fishing lake.

Quality Over Quantity

While some depend on how many “front feet” the property has on the water to determine value, that is not necessarily the best course. The amount of frontage usually relates to space between neighbors and how much area is available for docking and beach toys. But consider the house sitting on the edge of a bluff, with 200 feet of frontage and 100 steep steps down to the water. What if the shoreline is also rocky and reedy? Five lots south, the topography has sloped in to a gentle, almost level lot and the frontage itself is a natural sandy beach. This lot has only 50 feet at the lakefront. Which is more valuable?

The value of a lake property could be tied not only to the ease of the access and the quality of the frontage but also to the lake itself. For a clean swimming lake, the narrower 50-foot lot might be much more valuable than the less accessible 200-foot lot. But for a lake that is picturesque but not good for swimming or boating, the 200-foot lot with the elevated views might be the more valuable site. It all depends on the lake and why buyers might be interested in that particular spot.

Present and Future Demand

I live and work in Michigan, a state surrounded by lakes of all kinds. The Great Lakes are a treasure, but not exactly the bastions of privacy and quiet you see on some of the smaller inland lakes. Many of our inland lakes are massive in size, deep, and clean. Some are shallow, reedy, and mucky, making them more of a viewing amenity than anything else. Some lakes allow all the toys and others only a kayak or canoe. Some are merely ponds in buyers’ eyes.

There are many questions that buyers, real estate agents, and appraisers should consider in addition to the present appeal of the lake itself, because these issues contribute to whether the lake remains appealing into the future. Some lakes are manmade in that they are the result of damming a river. Some municipalities are considering removing such dams—in that case, what happens to the manmade lake? Some lakes have been invaded by unwelcome species such as zebra mussels, Eurasian watermilfoil, and other nuisances. Lakes with public access sites tend to have more trouble with these invasive species, though they do also travel naturally through waterfowl and other means. Could a lake with an invasive species problem become less desirable than one without? Is there any guarantee that a pristine lake will remain so? What about the life cycle of a lake? Is it a dying lake, or is it likely to stay in similar condition for the foreseeable future? How is the management on the lake? Is there an active association that seeks to ensure the health of the lake? Are septic systems monitored? Does the association have prohibitions against fertilizers?

But just as bodies of water can change, so too can our perspectives on them. Is it possible that we are starting to see a shift, as our population ages, to the desire for quiet lakes that do not allow gas motors? It used to be that these quiet “no-wake” lakes had less appeal, but in many instances, they are now attracting buyers that would not have considered them 10 or 20 years ago. There is something to be said for the quiet of a lake without loud motors and loud reveling at all hours of the day and night. On the other hand, these lakes have limitations of use, and buyers who want to have it all might find the sportier lakes desirable, in particular if there are limited year-round residents. The lack of year-round residents could mean that the owner has quieter weekdays, with increased activity on the weekends and over holidays.

The Tools at Your Disposal

The Department of Natural Resources maintains lake maps in most areas. These maps show the topography and composition of the lake bottom. DNR maps will also show public access points, existing housing, and other features. Appraisers and agents alike should become familiar with these maps. Plat maps are also available in many areas, and these can be used to examine other features, such as ownership issues where a third party may control the frontage in between a property and the lake shore. Another concern that can impact value is keyholing or funneling, where backlot owners have rights to a parcel on the water. Just being aware of some of these issues can help you be a better advocate for your client and know when to direct them toward legal counsel to help determine whether they have water rights.

Not All Sales Are Comparable

If possible, it’s best to find comparables on the same lake, but remember, lakes also have varied topography, both on shore and to the lake bottoms, and just because the potential comparable property is on the same lake might not mean that the properties are actually comparable.

Appraisers need to understand the lake itself and which lakes are reasonable alternates if nothing is available on the lake upon which we are doing our appraisal. Know your market and write about what is important to the target audience. How large is the lake? How deep is it? What types of activities are allowed on the lake? What are the other lakes that the buyer for our property would reasonably consider and why? Fully describe the topography, frontage, and access to the water at the subject site. Write about whether the beach is sandy, mucky, rocky, reedy, and so forth. Document sunrise and sunset views, parking, and docking. Agents don’t have the same communication requirements as appraisers do here, but they should be aware of what appraisers are considering and what they are reporting, because such factors affect the pricing conversation as well.

Determining logical comparable search criteria is incredibly important in lakefront homes because buyers may consider properties on lakes that are 20 or 30 miles apart, something that might scare some of the most experienced underwriters if not properly explained. A smart appraiser will set the stage ahead of time through the narrative in the report, which will help the underwriter and reviewers understand the thought process for the choice of comparables. Once the appraisers have spelled out the reasons that have drawn a buyer to the subject lake, discussion follows about the lakes that are competitive and why they are competitive. This can justify the use of sometimes very distant comparables.

Agents can help by providing appraisers with information about the lakes that the buyer considered and why they considered them as competitive. If your buyer would only consider one lake, explain why. While it might not be possible for the appraiser to stay on that lake due to lack of recent sales data, the buyer’s motivations to that lake over others can still be helpful.

Summer is coming and lake buyers will be out in force again soon. Be prepared to have a lake appraisal take longer and be costlier than a regular subdivision job. Take the extra time necessary for these lake deals to research the lake and the site, in addition to the improvements on the site. Hopefully the extra effort will pay off and you’ll be better able to enjoy your next lakeside sunset or cool dip in the water.

 

Reprinted from REALTOR® Magazine Online, March 2018, with permission of the National Association of REALTORS®. Copyright 2018. All rights reserved.

beyond front footage